the end of the world is just the beginning by peter zeihan

In turn, this informs him on the overall economic prospects of a country in terms of economic growth, rising living standards, and other indices. This gives him a view of a country's prospect for its labor force growth or contraction over time. The book examines age pyramids, a country's population aging over time and into the future. Africa and India will have numerous problems, including the most existential one, the ability to feed their citizens. Similarly, Europe will face several challenges of its own including ageing demographics, energy dependence vulnerability, and lack of access to domestic industrial raw materials. In a deglobalized world, both countries will face major challenges on several fronts, according to the author. Additionally, China imports much of its petroleum and food requirements. They both suffer from an ageing demographic profile, less than optimal transportation waterways network, and their respective capital markets are not nearly as deep and integrated as the US (in part due to global sanctions against Russia, and a closed capital market in China). On the other hand, the author is less enthusiastic about the prospects for both China and Russia across several of the mentioned sectors. And, it has a large, dependably productive agricultural sector, being a major food exporter, due to a favorable climate and abundant fertile lands. Because of the shale oil revolution, it has become increasingly independent regarding its energy needs. It has the deepest and best integrated capital markets. It has an extensive network of maritime transportation across very favorable waterways, including optimal access to the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. įor instance, across all sectors, he expects the US to fare relatively well. If a country is anticipated to do well in one sector, it is often likely to do well in several other sectors as well. Very often there are some relations or correlations between the prospects of a country across the six sectors.

Within each of the above sectors, the author investigates the prospects for a number of developed nations. This book's analysis covers six different economic sectors: What is currently referred to as deglobalization has been the focus of much of the author's research since 2012, when he left Stratfor and founded his own consulting firm. The book was published by Harper Business in June 2022. The End of the World Is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization is a nonfiction book written by Peter Zeihan, a geopolitical strategist who formerly worked for the geopolitical intelligence firm Stratfor.

The end of the world is just the beginning by peter zeihan